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Rashida's Corner

Eighteen years of published calls, with the receipts attached.

Rashida has been publishing market commentary since 2008. Not listing announcements — actual analysis of Toronto Regional Real Estate Board data, mortgage behaviour, and what was driving both.

This is the archive, with the figures she cited at the time. It includes the month she publicly got a forecast wrong, because a record that only contains the correct calls is not a record.

The entries reproduced here start in 2016. That is where the surviving files start, not where the writing does — the 2008 to 2015 issues went out by email and are being recovered.

2026
  1. Forecast

    Toronto looks to be on its way to a recovery

    Her most recent issue, published through the newsletter rather than the website. The read has turned constructive after the 2025 stall.

2025
  1. Market data

    Underneath the headlines, real opportunity exists

    On April 2025 TRREB results: the market stayed active but decelerated, with fewer buyers competing and inventory accumulating across the GTA. She framed a slower market as a buyer's opening rather than a collapse.

    Source: Toronto Regional Real Estate Board, April 2025

  2. Forecast

    When one door opens, another closes

    Rates were falling and the recovery should have followed. She named the two things blocking it: the coming Canadian federal election and the implementation of U.S. tariffs. Connecting Washington trade policy to GTA listing inventory is not a call most residential brokers were making.

2021
  1. Market data

    2020 closed as the third-best year on record

    Her year-end tally on a year most people expected to be catastrophic for housing.

    95,000+GTA home sales in 2020, average price near $930,000

    Source: Toronto Regional Real Estate Board

2020
  1. Market data

    A record month for the GTA

    Reported the market's continued acceleration through the autumn, against the consensus expectation of a pandemic-driven downturn.

  2. Market data

    A second consecutive monthly sales record

    August broke the record set in July. Average prices rose across every housing category.

    $1,172,880average GTA detached price, August 2020

    Source: Toronto Regional Real Estate Board, August 2020

  3. Market data

    Record-setting July

    Called the post-lockdown demand surge as it happened, and named the mechanism: pent-up demand from the spring freeze, plus cancelled summer travel. Historically the summer months dip.

    11,081 salesJuly 2020, up 29.5% year over year and 27.4% over June

    Source: Toronto Regional Real Estate Board, July 2020

  4. Market data

    Ferocious competition among buyers in 2020

    Read January's supply-demand gap as the shape of the whole year ahead. Sales rose sharply while new listings fell.

    4,582 transactionsGTA, January 2020, up 15.4%

    Source: Toronto Regional Real Estate Board, January 2020

2019
  1. Advisory

    Seven reasons to sell in winter

    Argued against the reflex to wait for spring, on the grounds that thin winter inventory can produce a faster sale at a better number than a crowded April.

  2. Market data

    New Canadians will drive housing demand

    Identified international migration as the load-bearing support under GTA housing demand, well before it became the standard explanation.

    1 in 5GTA home purchases made by new Canadians

    Source: Royal LePage survey

  3. Financing

    Canadians are opting for variable rates

    Flagged a structural shift in how buyers were financing, and what it implied about market confidence in the rate environment.

    44%of 2018 buyers choosing variable over five-year fixed

    Source: Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation

  4. Market data

    One market at the average, two markets underneath it

    Fewer than three listings for every sale made the headline a seller's market. She pointed out that homes above $1,000,000 were balanced or favouring buyers depending on location, so the citywide average was describing nobody's actual transaction.

    5,025 sales · 13,284 listingsGTA, February 2019

    Source: Toronto Regional Real Estate Board, February 2019

2018
  1. Market data

    2017 was a roller coaster, and policy drove it

    Attributed the year's whipsaw — record first quarter, then a demand stall — to government intervention, specifically the Ontario Fair Housing Plan.

  2. Pre-construction

    M2M Condos at Yonge and Finch

    Flagged the project pre-launch as an exceptional price-to-value entry on the Yonge corridor.

2017
  1. Forecast

    I was wrong

    She predicted 6,500 November sales. The actual figure was 7,374, one of the strongest Novembers on record. She published the miss, explained the cause — buyers rushing ahead of the January 2018 mortgage stress test — and forecast the pull-forward would continue.

    7,374 salesNovember 2017, against her published call of 6,500
2016
  1. Pre-construction

    Cosmos Condominiums at the Vaughan Metropolitan Centre

    Promoted the early phases at mid-$200,000 launch pricing, on the thesis that the subway extension would turn a highway interchange into an urban centre.

    mid-$200Kslaunch pricing, April 2016
Still writing

The current issue goes out by email.

Rashida's Corner is still published monthly, and the newsletter runs ahead of everything else. If you want the read on the market before it shows up anywhere public, that is where it lands first.